- What data can be used in the predictive model and how should it be utilized?
- What are the main variables that can be predicted?
- How the best accuracy can be determined?
- What are the available structures for using the model?
- How a predictive model can be used in the real world?
One can use a SAS predictive model in various circumstances, but mostly they are best used when important strategic decisions are to be made.
While for those of you, receiving SAS predictive modeling training things might seem fairly easy for building a model with academic data for practice. But there is a huge difference in the usability of academic data and real data. Here is a story that will best illustrate how statistics work in corporate scenarios.
I have a friend who earned his PhD from a renowned university. Soon after completing his PhD degree he was meeting people from the business world (mostly other predictive modelers) who were already involved in using real industry-based data for building predictive models. But while he thought that having no experience with real data puts him at a disadvantageous position than those with experience. He discovered that they were using a procedure that was redundant. They were trying to solve problems using multiple observations on the same entity. But their consequent observations did not propose any useful solution that could be correlated with the problem at hand. He was the one who identified the problem quickly and pointed it out to the group. But they could not understand his reasoning behind the issue as they were mostly from computer science and physics backgrounds. Hence, were not very well adept to the statistical implications. But later on after he conducted some research on the issue he was able to understand that while their approach apparently seemed flawed, it wasn’t as bad as it had seemed initially. But what was more interesting to note about this issue was that was it the flaw in their statistical model that made the real distinction in the ROI of the product.
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